Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia U20 vs Burundi U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019
Ethiopia U20 Logo

Ethiopia U20

0 - 2
FT
Burundi U20 Logo

Burundi U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Burundi U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ethiopia U20
15%
Draws
73%
Burundi U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burundi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Burundi U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Burundi U20 a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Burundi U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Burundi U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Burundi U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 Burundi U20
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.12 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Burundi U20 vs Ethiopia U20
3:2
Apr 21, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Burundi U20 vs Ethiopia U20
1:0
Apr 1, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Burundi U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 23 / 100
Burundi U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 Burundi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Burundi U20 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Burundi U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS Burundi U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

Burundi U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Tanzania U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mauritania U20 2
Morocco U20 1
TBD -
Guinea U20 -
Guinea-Bissau U20 1
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Tunisia U20 2
Algeria U20 5
Gambia U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 -
Benin U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Togo U20 2
Gabon U20 5
Zambia U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 1
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Ethiopia U20 0
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
South Sudan U20 1
Uganda U20 8
Tanzania U20 1
D.R. Congo U20 0
TBD -
Mali U20 -
South Africa U20 -
TBD -
Seychelles U20 0
Mozambique U20 6
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 1
Malawi U20 1
Congo U20 -
TBD -
Namibia U20 1
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Mauritania U20 3
Guinea U20 3
Guinea-Bissau U20 2
Nigeria U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Algeria U20 0
Gambia U20 2
Benin U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 6
Libya U20 4
Ivory Coast U20 2
Gabon U20 3
Zambia U20 3
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 2
Uganda U20 1
Tanzania U20 2
Mali U20 6
South Africa U20 4
Mozambique U20 1
Angola U20 3
Malawi U20 5
Congo U20 4
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 0
Senegal U20 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Mauritania U20 1
Nigeria U20 6
Ghana U20 4
Benin U20 2
Burkina Faso U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Zambia U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 1
Mali U20 4
South Africa U20 2
Malawi U20 0
Congo U20 3
Senegal U20 6
TBD -
TBD -