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Ethiopia U20 vs Kenya U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2020
Ethiopia U20 Logo

Ethiopia U20

0 - 3
FT
Kenya U20 Logo

Kenya U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kenya U20 in this CECAFA Championship U20 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kenya U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ethiopia U20
30%
Draws
47%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kenya U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kenya U20 average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of Ethiopia U20's 1.12.
  • Model gives Kenya U20 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship U20 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.12 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Kenya U20
0:3
Sep 26, 2019 Friendly International
Kenya U20 vs Ethiopia U20
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 26 / 100
Kenya U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Kenya U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Kenya U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS Kenya U20
0.67 Goals Scored 2.38
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
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Kenya U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 2 2 0 0 14:2 6
2 Djibouti U20 2 1 0 1 3:7 3
3 Somalia U20 2 0 0 2 2:10 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
2 South Sudan U20 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
3 Burundi U20 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya U20 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Ethiopia U20 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
3 Sudan U20 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)