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Stadium Background

Ethiopia U20 vs Tanzania U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
45' Event
53' Event

AI Match Summary

Tanzania U20 in this CECAFA Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanzania U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ethiopia U20
15%
Draws
73%
Tanzania U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ethiopia U20 haven't matched Tanzania U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tanzania U20 a 73% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Tanzania U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 Tanzania U20
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.12 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Tanzania U20
0:4
Nov 2, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Tanzania U20 vs Ethiopia U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 10 / 100
Tanzania U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 Tanzania U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopia U20 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Tanzania U20 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Tanzania U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS Tanzania U20
0.67 Goals Scored 2
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
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Tanzania U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
09 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Egypt U20
06 May
Zambia U20
1 : 0
Tanzania U20
03 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Rwanda U20 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
3 Ethiopia U20 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Sudan U20 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Djibouti U20 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U20 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kenya U20 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
3 South Sudan U20 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)