Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Mozamil Y.
90'
90'
Kanti M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Ethiopia have won more games recently than Sudan.
- Win probability leans Ethiopia's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ethiopia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sudan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ethiopia Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia | Sudan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 25, 2024 African Nations Championship
Sudan vs Ethiopia
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Ethiopia vs Sudan
0:2
Sep 26, 2022 Friendly International
Ethiopia vs Sudan
2:2
Sep 23, 2022 Friendly International
Ethiopia vs Sudan
1:1
Dec 30, 2021 Friendly International
Sudan vs Ethiopia
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethiopia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Sudan Compare
Top Goalscorer Mozamil Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopia 95 / 100
Sudan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopia Sudan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ethiopia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Sudan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.
Ethiopia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Sudan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopia VS Sudan
1.17 Goals Scored 0.38
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia
(Home) 09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1 Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1 Ethiopia
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1 Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Guinea Bissau
24 Mar
Ethiopia
6 : 1 Djibouti
Page 1 of 4
Sudan
(Away) 03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1 Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2 Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0 Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1 Sudan
Page 1 of 6
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1 Sudan
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1 Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0 Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1 Sudan
03 Dec
Algeria
0 : 0 Sudan
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
