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Stadium Background

Ethiopia W vs Djibouti W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Abebe Bikila Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Ethiopia W and Djibouti W finished 10-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethiopia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ethiopia W
6%
Draws
4%
Djibouti W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethiopia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Ethiopia W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 20%
Djibouti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia W Djibouti W
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 15 3
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 3.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 5.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 5.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Friendly International Women
Ethiopia W vs Djibouti W
7:0
Feb 12, 2025 Friendly International Women
Ethiopia W vs Djibouti W
10:0
Nov 21, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Djibouti W vs Ethiopia W
0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia W 85 / 100
Djibouti W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia W Djibouti W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djibouti W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 18 matches.

H2H data points to 8.33 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopia W scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Djibouti W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia W VS Djibouti W
3.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%