Sport Picks
Match Events
61'
61'
Biniam A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Adama City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adama City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ethiopian Insurance lately — more wins on the board than Adama City.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 24%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopian Insurance | Adama City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 14 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Adama City
0:1
Oct 20, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:0
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Adama City
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:2
May 23, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Adama City
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopian Insurance 33 / 100
Adama City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopian Insurance Adama City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopian Insurance's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Adama City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Ethiopian Insurance remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopian Insurance VS Adama City
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopian Insurance
(Home) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
19 May
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 0 Welayta Dicha
11 May
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
29 Apr
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Hawassa
Page 1 of 4
Adama City
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
16 May
Fasil Kenema
3 : 1 Adama City
04 May
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)