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Ethnikos Giannitsa vs A. Asteras

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021
Sun, Apr 18, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Giannitsa host A. Asteras in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. A. Asteras have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Ethnikos Giannitsa have conceded 1.87 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor A. Asteras slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2021, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.73 xG vs 1.11) point toward A. Asteras. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ethnikos Giannitsa
20%
Draws
51%
A. Asteras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: A. Asteras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A. Asteras come out ahead of Ethnikos Giannitsa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ethnikos Giannitsa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ethnikos Giannitsa Clean Sheet 20%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Giannitsa A. Asteras
Matches Played 15 39
Wins 3 16
Draws 2 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
A. Asteras vs Ethnikos Giannitsa
3:2
Apr 18, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa vs A. Asteras
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Giannitsa 40 / 100
A. Asteras 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Giannitsa A. Asteras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Giannitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ethnikos Giannitsa scored in 67% of their last 15 outings.

A. Asteras has conceded goals in 64% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ethnikos Giannitsa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS A. Asteras
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Giannitsa

(Home)
05 Jun
A. Asteras
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
30 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 1
Niki Agkathia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
16 May
Nea Kallikrateia
4 : 3
Ethnikos Giannitsa
12 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
Page 1 of 3

A. Asteras

(Away)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 14 12 2 0 27:6 38
2 Keravnos Anchelochori 14 8 2 4 23:15 26
3 Thermaikos FC 14 8 1 5 24:18 25
4 A. Asteras 14 8 1 5 23:21 25
5 Makedonikos Neapolis 14 6 6 2 27:10 24
6 Anagennisi Plagia 14 6 4 4 20:12 22
7 AS Giannitsa 14 7 1 6 23:15 22
8 M. Alexandros Trikala 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
9 Edessaikos 14 6 3 5 16:19 21
10 Niki Agkathia 14 6 2 6 15:16 20
11 Nea Kallikrateia 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
12 Aetos Varvaras 14 4 2 8 21:27 14
13 Ethnikos Giannitsa 14 3 2 9 17:26 11
14 PAO Koufalion 14 1 5 8 8:22 8
15 PAOK Alexandreia 14 1 1 12 11:45 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)