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Ethnikos Giannitsa vs PAOK Alexandreia Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021
Sun, Apr 4, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Giannitsa host PAOK Alexandreia in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ethnikos Giannitsa have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.87 conceded recently, against PAOK Alexandreia's 0.79 scored and 3.21 conceded. Past meetings favor PAOK Alexandreia slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2021, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.00, favoring Ethnikos Giannitsa. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ethnikos Giannitsa
15%
Draws
36%
PAOK Alexandreia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Giannitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethnikos Giannitsa come out ahead of PAOK Alexandreia on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Ethnikos Giannitsa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ethnikos Giannitsa Clean Sheet 20%
PAOK Alexandreia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Giannitsa PAOK Alexandreia
Matches Played 15 14
Wins 3 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.87 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
PAOK Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Giannitsa
3:2
Apr 4, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa vs PAOK Alexandreia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Giannitsa 85 / 100
PAOK Alexandreia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Giannitsa PAOK Alexandreia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Giannitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK Alexandreia let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ethnikos Giannitsa scored in 67% of their last 15 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

PAOK Alexandreia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Giannitsa VS PAOK Alexandreia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Giannitsa

(Home)
05 Jun
A. Asteras
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
30 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 1
Niki Agkathia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
16 May
Nea Kallikrateia
4 : 3
Ethnikos Giannitsa
12 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
Page 1 of 3

PAOK Alexandreia

(Away)
06 Jun
PAOK Alexandreia
1 : 2
Nea Kallikrateia
30 May
Aetos Varvaras
6 : 3
PAOK Alexandreia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
23 May
Makedonikos Neapolis
5 : 1
PAOK Alexandreia
16 May
PAOK Alexandreia
1 : 6
Anagennisi Plagia
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 14 12 2 0 27:6 38
2 Keravnos Anchelochori 14 8 2 4 23:15 26
3 Thermaikos FC 14 8 1 5 24:18 25
4 A. Asteras 14 8 1 5 23:21 25
5 Makedonikos Neapolis 14 6 6 2 27:10 24
6 Anagennisi Plagia 14 6 4 4 20:12 22
7 AS Giannitsa 14 7 1 6 23:15 22
8 M. Alexandros Trikala 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
9 Edessaikos 14 6 3 5 16:19 21
10 Niki Agkathia 14 6 2 6 15:16 20
11 Nea Kallikrateia 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
12 Aetos Varvaras 14 4 2 8 21:27 14
13 Ethnikos Giannitsa 14 3 2 9 17:26 11
14 PAO Koufalion 14 1 5 8 8:22 8
15 PAOK Alexandreia 14 1 1 12 11:45 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)