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Ethnikos Neou vs Apollon Kalamaria

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs game between Ethnikos Neou and Apollon Kalamaria finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Kalamaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ethnikos Neou
15%
Draws
34%
Apollon Kalamaria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Apollon Kalamaria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ethnikos Neou a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 13%
Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Neou Apollon Kalamaria
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 19 23
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.27 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Apollon Kalamaria vs Ethnikos Neou
3:2
Apr 26, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Ethnikos Neou vs Apollon Kalamaria
2:3
Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Apollon Kalamaria
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Apollon Kalamaria
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apollon Kalamaria vs Ethnikos Neou
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Neou 35 / 100
Apollon Kalamaria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Neou Apollon Kalamaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Apollon Kalamaria registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Apollon Kalamaria let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Neou VS Apollon Kalamaria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Neou

(Home)
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
29 Apr
Panthrakikos
2 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 6

Apollon Kalamaria

(Away)
20 Sept
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
19 Aug
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
17 May
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)