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Ethnikos Neou vs Ermis Exochis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Neou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ethnikos Neou
20%
Draws
46%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ermis Exochis haven't matched Ethnikos Neou's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ethnikos Neou have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 17%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Neou Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.21 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Ermis Exochis
5:2
Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Ermis Exochis
5:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Ethnikos Neou
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Neou 36 / 100
Ermis Exochis 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Neou Ermis Exochis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Exochis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Ermis Exochis let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Ethnikos Neou remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Neou VS Ermis Exochis
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Neou

(Home)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 7

Ermis Exochis

(Away)
26 Sept
Anthoupoli
1 : 1
Ermis Exochis
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)