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Ethnikos Neou vs Ermis Exochis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Ethnikos Neou Logo

Ethnikos Neou

5 - 2
FT
Ermis Exochis Logo

Ermis Exochis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Ethnikos Neou and Ermis Exochis finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ethnikos Neou
15%
Draws
46%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ethnikos Neou have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 19%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Neou Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.27 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Ermis Exochis
5:2
Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Ermis Exochis
5:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Ethnikos Neou
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Neou 31 / 100
Ermis Exochis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Neou Ermis Exochis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Neou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Ermis Exochis has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Ethnikos Neou went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Neou VS Ermis Exochis
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Neou

(Home)
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
29 Apr
Panthrakikos
2 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Exochis

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
22 Mar
Ethnikos Neou
5 : 2
Ermis Exochis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 27 21 4 2 54:7 67
2 Ethnikos Neou 27 19 6 2 63:27 63
3 Veria 27 14 5 8 38:23 47
4 Ermis Exochis 27 12 6 9 42:39 42
5 Philippos Alexandreia 27 9 5 13 29:40 32
6 Pierikos 27 9 3 15 23:34 30
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)