Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethnikos Neou vs Philippos Alexandreia

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Neou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ethnikos Neou
15%
Draws
28%
Philippos Alexandreia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou have won more games recently than Philippos Alexandreia.
  • Ethnikos Neou are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ethnikos Neou here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 68%
Philippos Alexandreia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Neou Philippos Alexandreia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.27 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Neou
1:3
Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Philippos Alexandreia
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Neou
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Neou 59 / 100
Philippos Alexandreia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Neou Philippos Alexandreia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Neou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Philippos Alexandreia has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Philippos Alexandreia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Neou VS Philippos Alexandreia
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Neou

(Home)
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
29 Apr
Panthrakikos
2 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 6

Philippos Alexandreia

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Philippos Alexandreia
0 : 3
Apollon Kalamaria
28 Mar
Philippos Alexandreia
1 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
22 Mar
Veria
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)