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Ethnikos Piraeus vs Aris Petroupolis Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ethnikos Piraeus
15%
Draws
46%
Aris Petroupolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aris Petroupolis lately — more wins on the board than Ethnikos Piraeus.
  • Ethnikos Piraeus are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 68%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Piraeus Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 19
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Aris Petroupolis vs Ethnikos Piraeus
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Aris Petroupolis
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Aris Petroupolis
2:0
Mar 11, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Aris Petroupolis
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Piraeus 51 / 100
Aris Petroupolis 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Piraeus Aris Petroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ethnikos Piraeus scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Aris Petroupolis conceded in 33% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ethnikos Piraeus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Piraeus VS Aris Petroupolis
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Piraeus

(Home)
27 Sept
PAO Rouf
0 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
17 May
Zakynthos
2 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
0 : 1
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 6

Aris Petroupolis

(Away)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)