Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etimesgut vs Kestel Cilekspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etimesgut play Kestel Cilekspor in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Etimesgut averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Kestel Cilekspor averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Etimesgut won 1, Kestel Cilekspor won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Etimesgut and 1.25 for Kestel Cilekspor. This points to a Etimesgut double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Etimesgut
27%
Draws
25%
Kestel Cilekspor
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Etimesgut picked up more points recently compared to Kestel Cilekspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 19%
Kestel Cilekspor Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Kestel Cilekspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Kestel Cilekspor
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Kestel Cilekspor vs Etimesgut
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuzun B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kestel Cilekspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Baydemir O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 47 / 100
Kestel Cilekspor 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Kestel Cilekspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Etimesgut or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Etimesgut attacking → ← attacking Kestel Cilekspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etimesgut scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Kestel Cilekspor let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Etimesgut went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kestel Cilekspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 30
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Bursa Nilufer301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515