Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etimesgut vs Yesil Yalova FK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Durmus A.
67' Event
Vural C. M.
Assist: Yilmaz B.

AI Match Summary

Etimesgut in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etimesgut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Etimesgut
6%
Draws
4%
Yesil Yalova FK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Etimesgut have won more games recently than Yesil Yalova FK.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Etimesgut taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 19%
Yesil Yalova FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Yesil Yalova FK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Yesil Yalova FK
2:0
Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Yesil Yalova FK vs Etimesgut
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Durmus A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vural C. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Yesil Yalova FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 85 / 100
Yesil Yalova FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Yesil Yalova FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yesil Yalova FK lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Etimesgut scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Yesil Yalova FK conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS Yesil Yalova FK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
27 Apr
Kucukcekmece
2 : 0
Etimesgut
23 Apr
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Kucukcekmece
18 Apr
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Bulvarspor
12 Apr
Kucukcekmece
3 : 1
Etimesgut
05 Apr
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 6

Yesil Yalova FK

(Away)
18 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1 : 0
Yesil Yalova FK
12 Apr
Yesil Yalova FK
0 : 2
Corluspor
05 Apr
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Yesil Yalova FK
28 Mar
Yesil Yalova FK
1 : 2
1926 Polatli Belediye
24 Mar
Gemlikspor
3 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Gemlikspor301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)