Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etincelles vs APR

Rwanda Rwanda

Peace Cup Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Etincelles
15%
Draws
40%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Etincelles haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • APR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor APR, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 11%
APR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etincelles APR
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.31 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Peace Cup
APR vs Etincelles
3:1
Apr 21, 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs APR
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs APR
2:1
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 30 / 100
APR 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etincelles APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Etincelles found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

APR let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Etincelles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS APR
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etincelles

(Home)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bugesera 1
Etincelles 2
Gasogi United 1
APR 4
Gorilla 2
Kigali FC 2
Police 0
Rayon Sport 1
Semi-finals
Etincelles 2
APR 6
Gorilla 1
Rayon Sport 1
Final
APR 2
Rayon Sport 1
Etincelles 1
Gorilla 6