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Etincelles vs APR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etincelles host APR in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Etincelles have averaged 1 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against APR's 1.77 scored and 1.04 conceded. Head-to-head, Etincelles have won 1 to APR's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.91 xG vs 1.09) point toward APR. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Etincelles
15%
Draws
40%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Etincelles haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Etincelles taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 20%
APR Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etincelles APR
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Peace Cup
APR vs Etincelles
3:1
Apr 21, 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs APR
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs APR
2:1
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 36 / 100
APR 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etincelles APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Etincelles scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

APR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Etincelles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS APR
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
29% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etincelles

(Home)
10 Oct
Bugesera
2 : 0
Etincelles
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
16 Oct
APR
0 : 1
Zamalek
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Gorilla 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
3 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
4 Mukura Victory Sports 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Sunrise 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
6 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Amagaju 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
8 Gasogi United 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
9 Police 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
11 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
12 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
13 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
14 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
15 Musanze 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
16 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
17 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
18 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)