Sport Picks
Etincelles vs Etoile de L'Est
Rwanda
Premier League 2023/2024 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi 
Match Events
22'
22'
49'
49'
Sunday I.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Etincelles and Etoile de L'Est finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Etoile de L'Est have managed 0.67 goals a game lately — Etincelles are scoring more at 0.94.
- Etincelles are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etincelles | Etoile de L'Est |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Etoile de L'Est
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Etincelles
1:0
Feb 27, 2022 Premier League
Etincelles vs Etoile de L'Est
3:0
Nov 24, 2021 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Etincelles
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Etincelles Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Etoile de L'Est Compare
Top Goalscorer Sunday I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etincelles 86 / 100
Etoile de L'Est 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etincelles Etoile de L'Est
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Etincelles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Etincelles's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Etoile de L'Est let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Scoring Trends
Etincelles VS Etoile de L'Est
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Etincelles
(Home) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6 Gorilla
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
Page 1 of 4
Etoile de L'Est
(Away) 15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2 Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0 Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0 Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3 Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2 Etoile de L'Est
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0 Etoile de L'Est
04 May
Police
1 : 2 Etoile de L'Est
20 Apr
Amagaju
0 : 1 Etoile de L'Est
28 Mar
Gasogi United
0 : 1 Etoile de L'Est
05 Mar
APR
1 : 0 Etoile de L'Est
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APR | 30 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 47:17 | 68 |
| 2 | Rayon Sport | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 42:25 | 57 |
| 3 | Musanze | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 34:24 | 53 |
| 4 | Mukura Victory Sports | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 39:32 | 47 |
| 5 | Kigali FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 26:25 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:34 | 44 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 35:34 | 39 |
| 8 | Amagaju | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:31 | 39 |
| 9 | Gasogi United | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 31:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Gorilla | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Marines | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Muhazi United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 21:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Bugesera | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Etincelles | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 32 |
| 15 | Sunrise | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 25:40 | 32 |
| 16 | Etoile de L'Est | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:39 | 31 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
