Sport Picks
Etincelles vs Sunrise Prediction & H2H Stats
Rwanda
Premier League 2023/2024 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi 
Match Events
23'
23'
Nzau J.
62'
62'
Rutayisire A.
67'
67'
Mukoghotya R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Etincelles lately — more wins on the board than Sunrise.
- Model gives Etincelles a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etincelles | Sunrise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Sunrise
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Sunrise
2:2
Oct 14, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Etincelles
0:1
Apr 22, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Etincelles
3:0
Sep 13, 2022 Premier League
Etincelles vs Sunrise
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Etincelles Compare
Top Goalscorer Nzau J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rutayisire A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sunrise Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukoghotya R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shema F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etincelles 59 / 100
Sunrise 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etincelles Sunrise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Etincelles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Etincelles found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).
Sunrise has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Etincelles VS Sunrise
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Etincelles
(Home) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6 Gorilla
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
Page 1 of 4
Sunrise
(Away) 17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1 Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1 Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0 Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1 Gorilla
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1 Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0 Sunrise
19 Apr
Gasogi United
3 : 0 Sunrise
03 Apr
Kiyovu
4 : 0 Sunrise
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APR | 30 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 47:17 | 68 |
| 2 | Rayon Sport | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 42:25 | 57 |
| 3 | Musanze | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 34:24 | 53 |
| 4 | Mukura Victory Sports | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 39:32 | 47 |
| 5 | Kigali FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 26:25 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:34 | 44 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 35:34 | 39 |
| 8 | Amagaju | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:31 | 39 |
| 9 | Gasogi United | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 31:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Gorilla | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Marines | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Muhazi United | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 21:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Bugesera | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Etincelles | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 32 |
| 15 | Sunrise | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 25:40 | 32 |
| 16 | Etoile de L'Est | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:39 | 31 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
