Sport Picks
Etoile-Carouge vs Bellinzona
Switzerland
Challenge League 2025/2026 Stade de la Fontenette 
AI Match Summary
Etoile-Carouge play Bellinzona in the Challenge League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Etoile-Carouge averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Bellinzona averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Etoile-Carouge won 4, Bellinzona won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Etoile-Carouge and 1.00 for Bellinzona. This points to a Bellinzona double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Etoile-Carouge has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bellinzona.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Challenge League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile-Carouge | Bellinzona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Etoile-Carouge Compare
Bellinzona Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etoile-Carouge scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Bellinzona let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Etoile-Carouge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Bellinzona lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 75:41 | 81 |
| 2 | Aarau | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 77:47 | 80 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 75:48 | 67 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 59:51 | 50 |
| 5 | Xamax | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 55:56 | 49 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 36 | 14 | 2 | 20 | 52:62 | 44 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 46:54 | 40 |
| 8 | Wil | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 33:60 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 40:77 | 23 |