Sport Picks
Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
Switzerland
Challenge League 2025/2026 Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Etoile-Carouge and Rapperswil-Jona finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile-Carouge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Rapperswil-Jona come out ahead of Etoile-Carouge on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Rapperswil-Jona here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile-Carouge | Rapperswil-Jona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Etoile-Carouge Compare
Rapperswil-Jona Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rapperswil-Jona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Etoile-Carouge scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Etoile-Carouge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile-Carouge
(Home)Rapperswil-Jona
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 75:41 | 81 |
| 2 | Aarau | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 77:47 | 80 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 75:48 | 67 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 59:51 | 50 |
| 5 | Xamax | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 55:56 | 49 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 36 | 14 | 2 | 20 | 52:62 | 44 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 46:54 | 40 |
| 8 | Wil | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 33:60 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 40:77 | 23 |
