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Etoile-Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Fri, Dec 11, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile-Carouge host Stade Nyonnais in the Challenge League. This has Etoile-Carouge written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Etoile-Carouge at 1.17 goals for, 1.72 against; Stade Nyonnais at 1 for, 2.4 against. Past meetings favor Etoile-Carouge slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Etoile-Carouge to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Etoile-Carouge
15%
Draws
51%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stade Nyonnais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Nyonnais haven't matched Etoile-Carouge's recent run of results.
  • Etoile-Carouge are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile-Carouge Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais
0:0
Jan 23, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile-Carouge
2:2
Nov 7, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile-Carouge 67 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile-Carouge Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile-Carouge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Nyonnais has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Etoile-Carouge found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Stade Nyonnais's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Etoile-Carouge VS Stade Nyonnais
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile-Carouge

(Home)
30 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 2
Kriens
24 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
16 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
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Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
06 Nov
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 5
Lausanne Ouchy
30 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 4
Stade Nyonnais
23 Oct
Winterthur
4 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1
Aarau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 13 9 4 0 28:6 31
2 Winterthur 12 7 3 2 26:11 24
3 Yverdon 12 6 4 2 23:14 22
4 Kriens 13 5 4 4 22:19 19
5 Xamax 12 5 1 6 16:20 16
6 Aarau 13 4 3 6 19:24 15
7 Wil 13 3 5 5 21:27 14
8 Etoile-Carouge 12 3 4 5 12:17 13
9 Rapperswil-Jona 13 3 2 8 18:26 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 13 2 2 9 13:34 8
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)