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Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile de Kivu host Anges Verts in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Anges Verts have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Etoile de Kivu have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Etoile de Kivu slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Etoile de Kivu to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Etoile de Kivu
20%
Draws
38%
Anges Verts
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile de Kivu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Etoile de Kivu lately — more wins on the board than Anges Verts.
  • Win probability leans Etoile de Kivu's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 20%
Anges Verts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile de Kivu Anges Verts
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Anges Verts vs Etoile de Kivu
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts
3:2
Mar 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Anges Verts
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Anges Verts vs Etoile de Kivu
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile de Kivu 40 / 100
Anges Verts 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile de Kivu Anges Verts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile de Kivu found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

Anges Verts has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Etoile de Kivu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile de Kivu VS Anges Verts
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile de Kivu

(Home)
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

Anges Verts

(Away)
18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
New Jack
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
Aigles du Congo
4 : 1
Anges Verts
04 Apr
Anges Verts
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
01 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
AS Maniema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)