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Etoile de L'Est vs Gorilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile de L'Est host Gorilla in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Etoile de L'Est at 0.57 goals for, 1.29 against; Gorilla at 1.09 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Etoile de L'Est have won 1 to Gorilla's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2024, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.29, favoring Gorilla. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Etoile de L'Est
30%
Draws
58%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile de L'Est haven't matched Gorilla's recent run of results.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 19%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile de L'Est Gorilla
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.57 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2024 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Gorilla
0:1
Nov 24, 2023 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etoile de L'Est
1:0
Jun 13, 2022 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Gorilla
0:0
Jan 24, 2022 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etoile de L'Est
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile de L'Est 32 / 100
Gorilla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile de L'Est Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Etoile de L'Est scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Etoile de L'Est went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile de L'Est VS Gorilla
0.33 Goals Scored 1.75
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile de L'Est

(Home)
17 Oct
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 1
Mukura Victory Sports
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
Page 1 of 6

Gorilla

(Away)
16 Oct
Police
0 : 0
Gorilla
09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Marines 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Amagaju 5 2 1 2 7:3 7
4 Mukura Victory Sports 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Gorilla 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
6 Etincelles 5 2 1 2 2:6 7
7 Sunrise 5 1 3 1 3:6 6
8 Gasogi United 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
9 Police 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
11 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
12 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
13 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
14 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
15 Musanze 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
16 Etoile de L'Est 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
17 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)