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Etoile du Congo vs Diables Noirs Prediction & H2H Stats

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2024/2025
Sun, Mar 23, 2025
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile du Congo host Diables Noirs in the Ligue 1 2024/2025. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Etoile du Congo at 1.69 goals for, 0.5 against; Diables Noirs at 1.13 for, 1.06 against. Head-to-head, Etoile du Congo have won 2 to Diables Noirs's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.72 vs 1.05, favoring Etoile du Congo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Etoile du Congo
15%
Draws
16%
Diables Noirs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile du Congo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Diables Noirs haven't matched Etoile du Congo's recent run of results.
  • Etoile du Congo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Etoile du Congo Clean Sheet 20%
Diables Noirs Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile du Congo Diables Noirs
Matches Played 16 16
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 0
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile du Congo vs Diables Noirs
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile du Congo vs Diables Noirs
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Diables Noirs vs Etoile du Congo
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoile du Congo vs Diables Noirs
1:1
Jun 11, 2023 Ligue 1
Diables Noirs vs Etoile du Congo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile du Congo 42 / 100
Diables Noirs 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile du Congo Diables Noirs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile du Congo scored in 88% of their last 16 games.

Recent resilience: Etoile du Congo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Diables Noirs has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Etoile du Congo VS Diables Noirs
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile du Congo

(Home)
23 Mar
Etoile du Congo
3 : 0
Diables Noirs
14 Mar
Etoile du Congo
4 : 0
CARA Brazzaville
07 Mar
Etoile du Congo
0 : 0
JS Talangai
02 Mar
Etoile du Congo
1 : 0
Congo U17
26 Feb
Etoile du Congo
3 : 1
AS Penarol
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Diables Noirs

(Away)
26 Oct
Otoho d'Oyo
2 : 0
Diables Noirs
23 Mar
Etoile du Congo
3 : 0
Diables Noirs
16 Mar
Diables Noirs
0 : 1
Otoho d'Oyo
09 Mar
Diables Noirs
0 : 1
Patronage Sainte-Anne
01 Mar
Diables Noirs
2 : 1
CARA Brazzaville
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