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Stadium Background

Etoile Sahel vs CS Sfaxien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile Sahel host CS Sfaxien in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Etoile Sahel at 1.14 goals for, 1.1 against; CS Sfaxien at 1.46 for, 0.43 against. Past meetings favor CS Sfaxien slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.80 vs 1.28, favoring CS Sfaxien. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Etoile Sahel
20%
Draws
51%
CS Sfaxien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CS Sfaxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile Sahel haven't matched CS Sfaxien's recent run of results.
  • CS Sfaxien are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CS Sfaxien have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 19%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Sahel CS Sfaxien
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Sahel
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
0:1
May 15, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Sahel
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Sahel 28 / 100
CS Sfaxien 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Sahel CS Sfaxien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Sahel scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: CS Sfaxien conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Etoile Sahel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile Sahel VS CS Sfaxien
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile Sahel

(Home)
11 Oct
Etoile Sahel
0 : 1
Hammam-Lif
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
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CS Sfaxien

(Away)
10 Oct
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
CS Sfaxien
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0
CS Sfaxien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9 Stade Tunisien 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Zarzis 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
11 AS Marsa 5 1 2 2 2:3 5
12 Etoile Sahel 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
13 Hammam-Lif 5 1 0 4 1:4 3
14 Metlaoui 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
15 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Hamam-Sousse 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)