Sport Picks
Etoile Sahel vs Esperance Tunis
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse 
Match Events
19'
19'
44'
44'
49'
49'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperance Tunis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Esperance Tunis have won more games recently than Etoile Sahel.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Esperance Tunis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile Sahel | Esperance Tunis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Etoile Sahel
3:2
Apr 4, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Esperance Tunis
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Etoile Sahel
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Etoile Sahel
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Esperance Tunis
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etoile Sahel 42 / 100
Esperance Tunis 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etoile Sahel Esperance Tunis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Etoile Sahel scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Esperance Tunis has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Etoile Sahel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Etoile Sahel VS Esperance Tunis
1.17 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile Sahel
(Home) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
09 May
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 CA Bizertin
25 Apr
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 AS Marsa
04 Apr
Etoile Sahel
0 : 0 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 3
Esperance Tunis
(Away) 13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1 AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1 Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1 Esperance Tunis
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
