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Etoile Sahel vs Hammam-Lif - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile Sahel host Hammam-Lif in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Etoile Sahel have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Hammam-Lif's 1.14 scored and 0.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Etoile Sahel slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2020, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Hammam-Lif. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Etoile Sahel
15%
Draws
36%
Hammam-Lif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Etoile Sahel haven't matched Hammam-Lif's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Sahel Hammam-Lif
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Etoile Sahel
1:0
Dec 11, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Hammam-Lif
4:0
Mar 7, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Hammam-Lif
2:1
Oct 31, 2018 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Etoile Sahel
0:1
Feb 19, 2017 Tunisia Cup
Hammam-Lif vs Etoile Sahel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Sahel 32 / 100
Hammam-Lif 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Sahel Hammam-Lif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Sahel's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hammam-Lif's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hammam-Lif's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Etoile Sahel VS Hammam-Lif
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile Sahel

(Home)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1
Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6

Hammam-Lif

(Away)
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)