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Etoile Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse
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Match Events

5'
Marouani S.
36' Event
Kouki H.
55' Event
Ben Dhiaf A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Etoile Sahel
20%
Draws
51%
Jeunesse Sportive
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeunesse Sportive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Etoile Sahel lately — more wins on the board than Jeunesse Sportive.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 17%
Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Sahel Jeunesse Sportive
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.18 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs Etoile Sahel
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs Etoile Sahel
1:4
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Dhiaf A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jeunesse Sportive Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouki H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Sahel 31 / 100
Jeunesse Sportive 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Sahel Jeunesse Sportive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Etoile Sahel scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Jeunesse Sportive has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Etoile Sahel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile Sahel VS Jeunesse Sportive
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile Sahel

(Home)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1
Etoile Sahel
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Jeunesse Sportive

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1
Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
22 Aug
PS Sakiet Eddaier
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
8 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)