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Etoile Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Olympique de Sousse
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile Sahel play Jeunesse Sportive in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Etoile Sahel averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. Jeunesse Sportive averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Etoile Sahel won 3, Jeunesse Sportive won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Etoile Sahel and 1.13 for Jeunesse Sportive. This points to a Etoile Sahel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Etoile Sahel
15%
Draws
36%
Jeunesse Sportive
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Etoile Sahel picked up more points recently compared to Jeunesse Sportive.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 21%
Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Sahel Jeunesse Sportive
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs Etoile Sahel
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs Etoile Sahel
1:4
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Jeunesse Sportive
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Anane R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jeunesse Sportive Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Sahel 48 / 100
Jeunesse Sportive 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Sahel Jeunesse Sportive

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Etoile Sahel or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Etoile Sahel attacking → ← attacking Jeunesse Sportive

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Sahel scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Jeunesse Sportive let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Etoile Sahel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jeunesse Sportive lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718