Sport Picks
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler vs Excelsior Grevels
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler in this Luxembourg Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Excelsior Grevels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Etoile Sportive Schouweiler have won more games recently than Excelsior Grevels.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Grevels taking it.
- Etoile Sportive Schouweiler have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Etoile Sportive Schouweiler, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Grevels Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile Sportive Schouweiler | Excelsior Grevels |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 2 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.13 | 3.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2012 Luxembourg Cup
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler vs Excelsior Grevels
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 10 / 100
Excelsior Grevels 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler Excelsior Grevels
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Excelsior Grevels conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).
Solid form: Etoile Sportive Schouweiler remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler VS Excelsior Grevels
1.88 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
(Home) 01 Oct
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 3 FC Residence Walferdange
23 Sept
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 6 Wiltz
17 Sept
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 4 Lintgen
01 Dec
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 7 Dudelange
27 Oct
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
4 : 3 US Feulen
Page 1 of 2
01 Oct
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 3 FC Residence Walferdange
23 Sept
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 6 Wiltz
17 Sept
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 4 Lintgen
01 Dec
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
0 : 7 Dudelange
27 Oct
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
4 : 3 US Feulen
Page 1 of 2
Excelsior Grevels
(Away) 23 Sept
CS Bourscheid
2 : 0 Excelsior Grevels
02 Sept
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
5 : 0 Excelsior Grevels
23 Sept
CS Bourscheid
2 : 0 Excelsior Grevels
02 Sept
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler
5 : 0 Excelsior Grevels
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jeunesse Esch-
TBD-
Jeunesse Junglinster0
Rumelange5
Hesperange4
CS Sanem0
TBD-
Fola-
Union Tetange-
TBD-
Alliance1
Cebra3
Esch3
UNA Strassen0
TBD-
Dudelange-
Progres Niedercorn-
TBD-
Miniere Lasauvage1
Diekirch2
Mondorf2
The Belval Belvaux1
TBD-
Racing Luxembourg-
Luxembourg City-
TBD-
FF Norden0
US Berdorf Consdorf6
Victoria Rosport3
Luna Oberkorn2
TBD-
Kaerjeng-
Grevenmacher-
TBD-
Pratzerthal/Redange0
Oberkorn4
US Feulen3
Bettembourg2
TBD-
Wiltz-
Erpeldange5
FC Rodange 914
TBD-
Jeunesse Canach-
CS Petange-
TBD-
FC Brouch1
Hostert4
Bissen3
Lintgen2
FC Residence Walferdange0
US Sandweiler1
Sporting Bertrange5
Mondercange0
Schifflange1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
Ettelbruck-
TBD-
Blue Boys Muhlenbach0
Mertert/Wasserbillig2
FC Marisca Mersch3
FC Mamer1
TBD-
Differdange-
1/16-finals
Jeunesse Esch3
Rumelange1
Hesperange1
Fola2
Union Tetange3
Cebra0
Esch1
Dudelange4
Progres Niedercorn3
Diekirch0
Mondorf0
Racing Luxembourg2
Luxembourg City7
US Berdorf Consdorf0
Victoria Rosport2
Kaerjeng3
Grevenmacher2
Oberkorn0
US Feulen0
Wiltz4
Erpeldange3
Jeunesse Canach2
CS Petange3
Hostert4
Bissen1
US Sandweiler0
Sporting Bertrange3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
Ettelbruck2
Mertert/Wasserbillig0
FC Marisca Mersch0
Differdange3
1/8-finals
Jeunesse Esch2
Fola1
Union Tetange1
Dudelange4
Progres Niedercorn2
Racing Luxembourg1
Luxembourg City0
Kaerjeng1
Grevenmacher4
Wiltz2
Erpeldange1
Hostert4
Bissen3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler2
Ettelbruck0
Differdange7
Quarter-finals
Jeunesse Esch1
Dudelange0
Progres Niedercorn0
Kaerjeng1
Grevenmacher2
Hostert1
Bissen0
Differdange2
Semi-finals
Jeunesse Esch2
Kaerjeng0
Grevenmacher0
Differdange1
Final
Jeunesse Esch2
Differdange1