Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ETSV Hamburg vs Duneberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Duzguner V.
51' Event
Kiene N.
55' Event
Karschau L.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between ETSV Hamburg and Duneberg finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ETSV Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
ETSV Hamburg
15%
Draws
12%
Duneberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • ETSV Hamburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ETSV Hamburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 68%
Duneberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Duneberg
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 24
Goals Scored 3.46 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Duneberg
7:1
Nov 11, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Duneberg vs ETSV Hamburg
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ETSV Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schultz M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Duzguner V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Duneberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosgun T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 95 / 100
Duneberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Duneberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ETSV Hamburg's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Duneberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Duneberg has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS -
3.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
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Duneberg

(Away)
17 May
ETSV Hamburg
7 : 1
Duneberg
11 May
Duneberg
0 : 9
Niendorfer TSV
26 Apr
Dassendorf
4 : 0
Duneberg
20 Apr
Duneberg
1 : 6
Harksheide
16 Apr
Duneberg
2 : 2
Suderelbe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)