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Stadium Background

ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ETSV Hamburg in this Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 11-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ETSV Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
ETSV Hamburg
20%
Draws
36%
Harksheide
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ETSV Hamburg lately — more wins on the board than Harksheide.
  • ETSV Hamburg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 13%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Harksheide
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 3.12 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide
11:0
Oct 10, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg
1:6
Dec 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 48 / 100
Harksheide 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Harksheide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ETSV Hamburg scored in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Harksheide has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: ETSV Hamburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS Harksheide
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
04 Oct
Paloma
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
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Harksheide

(Away)
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
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