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ETSV Hamburg vs Pinneberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg game between ETSV Hamburg and Pinneberg finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ETSV Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ETSV Hamburg
20%
Draws
40%
Pinneberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ETSV Hamburg come out ahead of Pinneberg on wins alone.
  • ETSV Hamburg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%
Pinneberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Pinneberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 3.03 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.55 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Pinneberg
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 47 / 100
Pinneberg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Pinneberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ETSV Hamburg scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pinneberg conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Solid form: ETSV Hamburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS Pinneberg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
08 Nov
ETSV Hamburg
4 : 2
Pinneberg
30 Oct
SC Victoria Hamburg
2 : 3
ETSV Hamburg
23 Oct
ETSV Hamburg
4 : 5
Vorwarts-Wacker
17 Oct
HT 16
2 : 2
ETSV Hamburg
13 Oct
Eintracht Norderstedt II
2 : 1
ETSV Hamburg
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Pinneberg

(Away)
08 Nov
ETSV Hamburg
4 : 2
Pinneberg
01 Nov
Pinneberg
2 : 4
TSV Concordia
23 Oct
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 3
Pinneberg
10 Oct
Sasel
1 : 1
Pinneberg
04 Oct
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Suderelbe
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