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ETSV Hamburg vs Vorwarts-Wacker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ETSV Hamburg host Vorwarts-Wacker in the Oberliga Hamburg. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Vorwarts-Wacker have shipped 2.47 goals a game lately, while ETSV Hamburg have conceded 1.38 and scored 3. Past meetings favor ETSV Hamburg slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 8:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Vorwarts-Wacker. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
ETSV Hamburg
15%
Draws
53%
Vorwarts-Wacker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vorwarts-Wacker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ETSV Hamburg lately — more wins on the board than Vorwarts-Wacker.
  • Win probability leans Vorwarts-Wacker's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ETSV Hamburg have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 20%
Vorwarts-Wacker Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Vorwarts-Wacker
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 3 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Vorwarts-Wacker
8:0
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Vorwarts-Wacker vs ETSV Hamburg
0:5
Feb 8, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Vorwarts-Wacker vs ETSV Hamburg
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Vorwarts-Wacker
9:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 28 / 100
Vorwarts-Wacker 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Vorwarts-Wacker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vorwarts-Wacker Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ETSV Hamburg's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Vorwarts-Wacker has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.25 goals per match.

ETSV Hamburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS Vorwarts-Wacker
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
09 Oct
ETSV Hamburg
4 : 6
Niendorfer TSV
04 Oct
Paloma
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
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Vorwarts-Wacker

(Away)
09 Oct
Teutonia Ottensen
1 : 7
Vorwarts-Wacker
02 Oct
Vorwarts-Wacker
2 : 4
Dassendorf
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
18 Sept
Vorwarts-Wacker
0 : 0
Suderelbe
13 Sept
Pinneberg
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
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