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Ettelbruck vs Dudelange - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Am Deich, Ettelbruck
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ettelbruck host Dudelange in the BGL Ligue. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Ettelbruck at 1.52 goals for, 1.93 against; Dudelange at 1.53 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Ettelbruck have won 0 to Dudelange's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2023, ending 2:5. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.31) point toward Dudelange. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ettelbruck
20%
Draws
40%
Dudelange
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dudelange come out ahead of Ettelbruck on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ettelbruck taking it.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dudelange have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 18%
Dudelange Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ettelbruck Dudelange
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Dudelange
2:5
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Ettelbruck vs Dudelange
0:4
Sep 18, 2022 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs Ettelbruck
4:0
Mar 20, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Dudelange
0:4
Sep 26, 2021 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs Ettelbruck
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ettelbruck 36 / 100
Dudelange 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ettelbruck Dudelange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Ettelbruck scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Dudelange has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Ettelbruck has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ettelbruck VS Dudelange
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ettelbruck

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1
Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

Dudelange

(Away)
20 Sept
Diekirch
1 : 3
Dudelange
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
12 Sept
Hostert
0 : 0
Dudelange
06 Sept
Dudelange
1 : 3
Racing Luxembourg
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)