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Eupen vs Genk U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Kehrwegstadion, Eupen
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Match Events

3' Event
Plastun I.
Assist: Delaurier-Chaubet L.
14' Event
Kim M.
Assist: Nzoko D.
34'
Plastun I.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Eupen and Genk U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eupen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Eupen
15%
Draws
34%
Genk U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eupen come out ahead of Genk U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Eupen Clean Sheet 10%
Genk U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eupen Genk U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.1 2.31
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Genk U23
4:1
Jan 30, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Eupen
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Genk U23
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Eupen
0:0
Sep 27, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Genk U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eupen Compare

Top Goalscorer Plastun I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Genechten Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Genk U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eupen 29 / 100
Genk U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eupen Genk U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eupen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eupen scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Eupen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Genk U23 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Eupen VS Genk U23
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eupen

(Home)
09 Oct
Anderlecht U23
0 : 2
Eupen
01 Oct
Eupen
3 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
13 Sept
Patro Eisden
1 : 2
Eupen
Page 1 of 6

Genk U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Genk U23
2 : 2
RFC Seraing
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
05 Sept
Genk U23
3 : 0
Hasselt
28 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 4
Genk U23
25 Aug
Genk U23
6 : 0
Maastricht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dender 7 6 0 1 11:2 18
2 Eupen 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Beerschot VA 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
4 Francs Borains 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
5 Virton 5 3 1 1 8:2 10
6 Sporting Lokeren 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
7 Hasselt 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
8 Club Brugge U23 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
9 Genk U23 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
10 RFC Liege 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
11 Gent U23 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
12 Lierse SK 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
13 Patro Eisden 6 1 0 5 7:12 3
14 RFC Seraing 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
15 Anderlecht U23 7 0 1 6 7:17 1
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