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Eupen vs Genk U23

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Kehrwegstadion, Eupen
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Plastun I.
Assist: Delaurier-Chaubet L.
14' Event
Kim M.
Assist: Nzoko D.
34'
Plastun I.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Eupen and Genk U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eupen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Eupen
15%
Draws
39%
Genk U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eupen come out ahead of Genk U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Eupen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Eupen Clean Sheet 10%
Genk U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eupen Genk U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Genk U23
4:1
Jan 30, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Eupen
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Genk U23
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Genk U23 vs Eupen
0:0
Sep 27, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Genk U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eupen Compare

Top Goalscorer Plastun I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Genechten Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Genk U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eupen 83 / 100
Genk U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eupen Genk U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eupen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eupen scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Genk U23 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Eupen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eupen VS Genk U23
3.25 Goals Scored 3.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eupen

(Home)
15 Aug
Eupen
4 : 1
Genk U23
08 Aug
Eupen
1 : 3
RFC Seraing
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3
Eupen
29 Jul
Eupen
8 : 0
Aywaille
25 Jul
Wiltz
0 : 9
Eupen
Page 1 of 6

Genk U23

(Away)
15 Aug
Eupen
4 : 1
Genk U23
08 Aug
Zelzate
1 : 2
Genk U23
05 Aug
Antwerp B
0 : 0
Genk U23
25 Jul
Genk U23
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
22 Jul
Eendracht Termien
2 : 3
Genk U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Eupen 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Virton 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Sporting Lokeren 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Francs Borains 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Patro Eisden 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Hasselt 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Club Brugge U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 RFC Liege 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Anderlecht U23 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Dender 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 RFC Seraing 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
13 Genk U23 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
14 Lierse SK 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
15 Gent U23 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
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