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Stadium Background

Eupen vs Lierse SK

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Kehrwegstadion, Eupen
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Match Events

6' Event
Bokadi M.
Own Goal
29'
Muller M.
40'
Kennedy S.

AI Match Summary

Lierse SK in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lierse SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Eupen
20%
Draws
19%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Eupen have won more games recently than Lierse SK.
  • Model gives Eupen a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lierse SK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Eupen Clean Sheet 68%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eupen Lierse SK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Lierse SK
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Eupen
3:2
Feb 9, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Lierse SK
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Eupen
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eupen 95 / 100
Lierse SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eupen Lierse SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eupen found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Eupen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lierse SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eupen VS Lierse SK
3 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eupen

(Home)
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3
Eupen
29 Jul
Eupen
8 : 0
Aywaille
25 Jul
Wiltz
0 : 9
Eupen
21 Jul
Eupen
2 : 2
Al Taawon
15 Jul
Eupen
2 : 1
La Calamine
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Lierse SK

(Away)
02 Aug
Cappellen
0 : 6
Lierse SK
01 Aug
Lierse SK
1 : 2
Heist
25 Jul
Antwerp
1 : 1
Lierse SK
18 Jul
Leuven
1 : 0
Lierse SK
03 Jul
Sittard
1 : 0
Lierse SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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