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Eupen vs RFC Liege - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Kehrwegstadion, Eupen
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Match Events

23' Event
di Matteo R.
Assist: Keita A.
36' Event
Nuhu I.
Assist: Simakala B.
42'
Sub
di Matteo R. In: Muller M.
Out: di Matteo R.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Eupen and RFC Liege finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eupen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Eupen
15%
Draws
12%
RFC Liege
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eupen come out ahead of RFC Liege on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Eupen taking it.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Eupen Clean Sheet 16%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eupen RFC Liege
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.21 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs RFC Liege
3:1
Apr 17, 2026 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Eupen
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs RFC Liege
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs RFC Liege
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Eupen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eupen Compare

Top Goalscorer di Matteo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nuhu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

RFC Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngawa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eupen 57 / 100
RFC Liege 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eupen RFC Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eupen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eupen found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: RFC Liege conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: RFC Liege registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eupen VS RFC Liege
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eupen

(Home)
08 Nov
Lierse SK
2 : 3
Eupen
01 Nov
Eupen
1 : 2
Virton
25 Oct
Eupen
1 : 2
Beerschot VA
18 Oct
KV Mechelen
5 : 1
Eupen
09 Oct
Anderlecht U23
0 : 2
Eupen
Page 1 of 6

RFC Liege

(Away)
30 Oct
RFC Seraing
1 : 0
RFC Liege
25 Oct
RFC Liege
2 : 3
Patro Eisden
17 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
4 : 0
RFC Liege
10 Oct
Beerschot VA
5 : 1
RFC Liege
01 Oct
Bissen
2 : 2
RFC Liege
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 10 9 0 1 25:8 27
2 Dender 10 6 2 2 14:6 20
3 Eupen 9 6 0 3 18:11 18
4 Francs Borains 9 6 0 3 11:10 18
5 Patro Eisden 10 5 0 5 16:16 15
6 Hasselt 9 5 0 4 13:15 15
7 Sporting Lokeren 9 4 2 3 18:16 14
8 Virton 9 4 1 4 15:12 13
9 Gent U23 9 3 3 3 12:14 12
10 Genk U23 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
11 Club Brugge U23 9 2 3 4 14:21 9
12 RFC Seraing 10 2 2 6 12:17 8
13 Lierse SK 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Anderlecht U23 9 2 1 6 12:17 7
15 RFC Liege 9 1 2 6 13:22 5
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