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Eupen vs RFC Liege

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Kehrwegstadion, Eupen
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
di Matteo R.
Assist: Keita A.
36' Event
Nuhu I.
Assist: Simakala B.
42'
Sub
di Matteo R. In: Muller M.
Out: di Matteo R.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Eupen and RFC Liege finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eupen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Eupen
20%
Draws
24%
RFC Liege
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eupen come out ahead of RFC Liege on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Eupen taking it.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Eupen Clean Sheet 11%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eupen RFC Liege
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs RFC Liege
3:1
Apr 17, 2026 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Eupen
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs RFC Liege
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs RFC Liege
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Eupen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eupen Compare

Top Goalscorer di Matteo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nuhu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

RFC Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngawa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eupen 83 / 100
RFC Liege 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eupen RFC Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eupen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eupen found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: RFC Liege conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Eupen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eupen VS RFC Liege
3.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eupen

(Home)
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
13 Sept
Patro Eisden
1 : 2
Eupen
05 Sept
Club Brugge U23
0 : 1
Eupen
21 Aug
Sporting Lokeren
2 : 1
Eupen
15 Aug
Eupen
4 : 1
Genk U23
Page 1 of 6

RFC Liege

(Away)
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4
Club Brugge U23
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
23 Aug
Genk U23
2 : 3
RFC Liege
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
2 Dender 6 5 0 1 8:2 15
3 Eupen 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
4 Francs Borains 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
5 Virton 5 3 1 1 8:2 10
6 Sporting Lokeren 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
7 Hasselt 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
8 Club Brugge U23 5 2 2 1 11:10 8
9 Genk U23 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
10 RFC Liege 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
11 Gent U23 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
12 Lierse SK 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
13 Patro Eisden 6 1 0 5 7:12 3
14 RFC Seraing 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
15 Anderlecht U23 6 0 1 5 7:15 1
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