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Europa FC vs St Josephs

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Europa FC play St Josephs in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Europa FC averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. St Josephs averaged 3.27 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In past meetings, Europa FC won 0, St Josephs won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Europa FC and 1.00 for St Josephs. This points to a St Josephs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Europa FC
15%
Draws
46%
St Josephs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Josephs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Europa FC picked up more points recently compared to St Josephs.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Europa FC Clean Sheet 23%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Europa FC St Josephs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.03 3.27
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National League
Europa FC vs St Josephs
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 National League
Europa FC vs St Josephs
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Europa FC
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Europa FC
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Europa FC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Europa FC 40 / 100
St Josephs 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Europa FC St Josephs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St Josephs or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Europa FC attacking → ← attacking St Josephs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Europa FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

St Josephs let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Europa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St Josephs lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 67
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lincoln Red Imps27233189:1772
2St Josephs27203496:1763
3Europa FC27182754:2056
4Mons Calpe27181866:3555
5Lions Gibraltar271341053:4443
6Lynx271041338:4534