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Everton La Plata vs Juventud de Bernal

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Everton La Plata play Juventud de Bernal in the Torneo Promocional Amateur 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Everton La Plata averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Juventud de Bernal averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Everton La Plata won 3, Juventud de Bernal won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 26, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Everton La Plata and 0.50 for Juventud de Bernal. This points to a Everton La Plata double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Everton La Plata
24%
Draws
21%
Juventud de Bernal
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Everton La Plata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Everton La Plata picked up more points recently compared to Juventud de Bernal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Everton La Plata Clean Sheet 31%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton La Plata Juventud de Bernal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.93 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Everton La Plata
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Everton La Plata vs Juventud de Bernal
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Everton La Plata vs Juventud de Bernal
1:0
May 13, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Everton La Plata
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton La Plata 56 / 100
Juventud de Bernal 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton La Plata Juventud de Bernal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton La Plata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Everton La Plata & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Everton La Plata attacking → ← attacking Juventud de Bernal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton La Plata scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Juventud de Bernal let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Everton La Plata went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Juventud de Bernal lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 18
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Estrella Del Sur13103020:733
2Deportivo Camioneros1375124:1126
3Nautico Hacoaj1364317:1122
4Social Atletico Television1364315:922
5Ezeiza1362513:1120
6Provincial1354420:1519
7Estrella de Berisso1346313:1118
8Deportivo Metalurgico1345416:1417
9Everton La Plata1344512:1916
10Defensores de Glew1336417:1615
11Barrancas133467:1313
12Atletico Pilar1322915:268
13Belgrano Zarate131577:208
14Juventud de Bernal131489:227