Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Everton vs A. Italiano

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Guajardo P.
15' Event
Troyansky F.
(Penalty)
15'
Troyansky F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between Everton and A. Italiano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Everton
30%
Draws
33%
A. Italiano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • A. Italiano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Everton's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Everton Clean Sheet 15%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton A. Italiano
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Primera
Everton vs A. Italiano
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Everton
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Everton
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Liga de Primera
Everton vs A. Italiano
1:1
Aug 29, 2024 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Everton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Aviles E. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

A. Italiano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton 39 / 100
A. Italiano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton A. Italiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: A. Italiano conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Everton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Everton VS A. Italiano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton

(Home)
08 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 4
Everton
01 Aug
Everton
3 : 4
Colo Colo
27 Jul
Union La Calera
1 : 1
Everton
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
04 Jul
San Luis
2 : 2
Everton
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A. Italiano

(Away)
11 Aug
A. Italiano
2 : 2
Nublense
01 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
26 Jul
A. Italiano
1 : 2
U. De Chile
11 Jul
Magallanes
0 : 1
A. Italiano
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1
A. Italiano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 18 15 0 3 38:17 45
2 U. De Chile 19 10 6 3 26:13 36
3 U. Catolica 18 9 3 6 40:26 30
4 Everton 19 7 6 6 28:22 27
5 Palestino 18 8 3 7 26:26 27
6 Nublense 17 6 8 3 22:21 26
7 Coquimbo 17 7 4 6 24:21 25
8 Limache 18 7 3 8 35:30 24
9 Huachipato 18 7 3 8 27:31 24
10 La Serena 19 5 8 6 28:31 23
11 D. Concepcion 18 7 2 9 20:23 23
12 O Higgins 18 7 2 9 22:28 23
13 A. Italiano 19 5 6 8 23:26 21
14 U. De Concepcion 18 5 4 9 13:30 19
15 Cobresal 18 5 2 11 26:34 17
16 Union La Calera 18 3 4 11 16:35 13
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)