Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Everton vs AS Roma Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Mykolenko V. In: Aznou A.
Out: Mykolenko V.
61'
Sub
Barry T. In: Beto
Out: Barry T.
61'
Sub
Dewsbury-Hall K. In: McNeil D.
Out: Dewsbury-Hall K.

AI Match Summary

AS Roma in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Everton
35%
Draws
36%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Roma lately — more wins on the board than Everton.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Everton Clean Sheet 15%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton AS Roma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.52 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Everton vs AS Roma
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Everton vs AS Roma
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Soule M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton 27 / 100
AS Roma 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Everton stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Everton scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

AS Roma let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Everton VS AS Roma
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton

(Home)
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2
Manchester United
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Everton
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6