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Everton W vs Aston Villa W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

WSL 2025/2026 Goodison Park, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Salmon E.
16'
Mace R.
30'
Patten A.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2025/2026 game between Everton W and Aston Villa W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Everton W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Everton W
20%
Draws
29%
Aston Villa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Everton W come out ahead of Aston Villa W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Everton W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Everton W Clean Sheet 20%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Aston Villa W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 WSL
Everton W vs Aston Villa W
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Everton W
3:3
Mar 2, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Everton W
0:2
Jan 18, 2025 WSL
Everton W vs Aston Villa W
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Everton W vs Aston Villa W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aston Villa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 76 / 100
Aston Villa W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Aston Villa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Aston Villa W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Everton W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Aston Villa W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
06 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Everton W
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa W

(Away)
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4
Manchester City W
05 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 22 18 1 3 62:19 55
2 Arsenal W 22 15 6 1 53:14 51
3 Chelsea W 22 15 4 3 44:20 49
4 Manchester United W 22 11 7 4 38:22 40
5 Tottenham W 22 11 3 8 35:38 36
6 London City Lionesses W 22 8 3 11 28:35 27
7 Brighton W 22 7 5 10 27:28 26
8 Everton W 22 7 2 13 25:37 23
9 Aston Villa W 22 5 5 12 28:48 20
10 West Ham W 22 5 4 13 20:45 19
11 Liverpool W 22 4 5 13 21:34 17
12 Leicester W 22 2 3 17 11:52 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)