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Everton W vs Liverpool W

England England

WSL 2025/2026 Goodison Park, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Holland C.
(Penalty)
15'
Fisk G.
20' Event
Fernandez M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2025/2026 game between Everton W and Liverpool W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Everton W
15%
Draws
39%
Liverpool W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Liverpool W's 2.07 goals per match outpaces what Everton W have produced (1.28).
  • Win probability leans Everton W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular WSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Everton W Clean Sheet 12%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Liverpool W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.28 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 WSL
Everton W vs Liverpool W
2:3
Feb 22, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Liverpool W vs Everton W
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 WSL
Liverpool W vs Everton W
1:4
May 4, 2025 WSL
Liverpool W vs Everton W
0:2
Dec 11, 2024 Women's League Cup
Liverpool W vs Everton W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kramzar Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Liverpool W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holland C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 40 / 100
Liverpool W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Liverpool W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Everton W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Liverpool W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Everton W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Liverpool W
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
13% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
06 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Everton W
08 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Everton W
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Liverpool W

(Away)
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Liverpool W
13 Sept
Liverpool W
1 : 1
Tottenham W
06 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 4
Liverpool W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 22 18 1 3 62:19 55
2 Arsenal W 22 15 6 1 53:14 51
3 Chelsea W 22 15 4 3 44:20 49
4 Manchester United W 22 11 7 4 38:22 40
5 Tottenham W 22 11 3 8 35:38 36
6 London City Lionesses W 22 8 3 11 28:35 27
7 Brighton W 22 7 5 10 27:28 26
8 Everton W 22 7 2 13 25:37 23
9 Aston Villa W 22 5 5 12 28:48 20
10 West Ham W 22 5 4 13 20:45 19
11 Liverpool W 22 4 5 13 21:34 17
12 Leicester W 22 2 3 17 11:52 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)