Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Everton W vs Nottingham W

England England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 Goodison Park, Liverpool
Sun, Oct 19, 2025
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Stapleton J.
56' Event
Claypole A.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Gago K.

AI Match Summary

Everton W in this Women's League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Everton W
20%
Draws
38%
Nottingham W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Nottingham W have won more games recently than Everton W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Everton W taking it.
  • Nottingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Everton W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Everton W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Everton W Clean Sheet 18%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Nottingham W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Women's League Cup
Everton W vs Nottingham W
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Nottingham W vs Everton W
1:7
Feb 28, 2016 Women’s FA Cup
Everton W vs Nottingham W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gago K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nottingham W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 40 / 100
Nottingham W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Nottingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Everton W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Everton W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Nottingham W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
06 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Everton W
08 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Everton W
01 Aug
Hamburger W
0 : 1
Everton W
16 May
Everton W
1 : 0
Leicester W
13 May
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Everton W
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham W

(Away)
06 Sept
Ipswich W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Portsmouth W
0 : 1
Nottingham W
05 Apr
Newcastle Utd W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
29 Mar
Nottingham W
2 : 1
Durham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 3 3 0 0 8:4 8
2 Everton W 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
3 Nottingham W 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool W 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Sheffield Utd W 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
3 Durham W 3 0 0 3 3:4 2
4 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Charlton W 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Brighton W 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
4 Portsmouth W 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
5 Southampton FC W 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace W 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Ipswich W 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Aston Villa W 3 1 0 2 6:3 5
3 Birmingham W 3 2 0 1 5:8 4
4 Bristol City W 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)