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Everton W vs Nottingham W

England England

Women's League Cup Goodison Park, Liverpool
Sun, Oct 19, 2025
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Stapleton J.
56' Event
Claypole A.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Gago K.

AI Match Summary

Everton W in this Women's League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Everton W
39%
Draws
30%
Nottingham W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nottingham W have won more games recently than Everton W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Nottingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Everton W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Everton W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Everton W Clean Sheet 18%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Nottingham W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Women's League Cup
Everton W vs Nottingham W
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Nottingham W vs Everton W
1:7
Feb 28, 2016 Women’s FA Cup
Everton W vs Nottingham W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gago K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nottingham W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 32 / 100
Nottingham W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Nottingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Everton W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Nottingham W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Everton W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Nottingham W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
16 May
Everton W
1 : 0
Leicester W
13 May
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Everton W
26 Apr
Everton W
1 : 4
Chelsea W
28 Mar
Everton W
2 : 3
Liverpool W
21 Mar
Manchester United W
2 : 1
Everton W
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham W

(Away)
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Portsmouth W
0 : 1
Nottingham W
05 Apr
Newcastle Utd W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
29 Mar
Nottingham W
2 : 1
Durham W
22 Mar
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Ipswich W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W33008:48
2Everton W32015:55
3Nottingham W31023:44
4Newcastle Utd W30035:81
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liverpool W330011:29
2Sheffield Utd W32013:55
3Durham W30033:42
4Sunderland W31021:72
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham W430112:49
2Charlton W43017:69
3Brighton W42026:36
4Portsmouth W41032:63
5Southampton FC W41032:103
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crystal Palace W32017:46
2Leicester W32016:46
3London City Lionesses W32014:26
4Ipswich W30033:100
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tottenham W33004:08
2Aston Villa W31026:35
3Birmingham W32015:84
4Bristol City W30032:61
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)