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Evesham vs Bristol Manor Farm Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Sat, Sep 21, 2024
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Bristol Manor Farm advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Evesham
15%
Draws
26%
Bristol Manor Farm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Evesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bristol Manor Farm carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Evesham's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Bristol Manor Farm arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bristol Manor Farm, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%
Bristol Manor Farm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Bristol Manor Farm
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 1
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 FA Trophy
Evesham vs Bristol Manor Farm
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 38 / 100
Bristol Manor Farm 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Bristol Manor Farm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Manor Farm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Evesham's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Evesham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Bristol Manor Farm
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6

Bristol Manor Farm

(Away)
12 Sept
Bristol Manor Farm
2 : 3
Moneyfields
29 Aug
Bishops Cleeve
1 : 3
Bristol Manor Farm
04 Jul
Bristol Manor Farm
0 : 3
Newport
06 Sept
Bristol Manor Farm
0 : 2
Shaftesbury Town
26 Oct
Bristol Manor Farm
1 : 2
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
Mossley AFC 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley 2
Dunston 0
Vauxhall 1
Newton Aycliffe 2
Stalybridge 1
Ossett United 2
Witton Albion 1
Bradford PA 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Liversedge 1
Avro 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Wythenshawe FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Bridlington Town 0
Trafford 1
Consett 1
Atherton Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Garforth 0
Wythenshawe Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Brighouse Town 1
Clitheroe 2
Heaton Stannington 1
North Ferriby FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 6
Shepshed 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Newcastle Town 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Belper Town 2
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Sheffield FC 2
Loughborough Students 3
Worcester 1
Hinckley LR 4
Hednesford 4
Quorn 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Chasetown 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Bishop Auckland 1
Nantwich 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club Warwick 2
Hanley Town 3
Bedworth United 1
Sherwood Colliery 3
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Stafford 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town 0
Coleshill Town 2
Rugby 0
Carlton Town 1
Worksop -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Alvechurch -
Sheppey United 2
Ramsgate 3
Raynes Park Vale 4
Beckenham Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walthamstow FC 1
Real Bedford 2
Leighton Town 1
Stotfold 0
Sittingbourne 2
Sutton Common Rovers 0
Kingstonian 3
Eastbourne Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 6
Phoenix Sports 0
Croydon Athletic 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Westfield 4
Metropolitan Police 0
Steyning Town 0
Thame United 5
Deal Town 0
Ashford United 1
Hartley Wintney 2
East Grinstead Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Basildon 2
Enfield FC 2
Biggleswade FC 0
Wroxham 1
Aylesbury United 0
Redbridge 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Tilbury 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware 2
Newmarket 3
Cambridge City 1
Kings Langley 0
Sevenoaks 3
Harrow Borough 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Leatherhead 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 5
Merstham 0
Hanworth Villa 0
Margate 5
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Heybridge 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Wellingborough 2
Corby 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Farnham 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Badshot Lea 0
Broadbridge Heath 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Mildenhall 2
Brightlingsea 4
Brentwood 3
FC Witham Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 3
Sporting Bengal 2
Southall FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Leverstock Green 1
Bury Town 0
Barton 2
Waltham Abbey 1
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges 2
Hythe 1
Herne Bay 1
Northwood 0
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 2
Grays 1
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Gorleston 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bashley 0
Mousehole 4
Falmouth Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Westbury United 0
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Yate 3
Bideford 2
Malvern Town 0
Helston Athletic 1
Melksham 2
Willand Rovers 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
Larkhall 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
North Leigh 1
Exmouth Town 4
Kidlington 1
Horndean 3
Binfield 0
Semi-finals
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 4
Pontefract Collieries 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Ossett United 2
Bradford PA 1
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Avro 0
FC Congleton Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Trafford 3
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
Ashton United -
Wythenshawe Town 2
Stocksbridge 3
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Belper Town 2
Loughborough Students 1
Hinckley LR 2
Hednesford 1
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Khalsa 4
Nantwich 3
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Hanley Town 1
Sherwood Colliery 0
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 3
Carlton Town 2
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Ramsgate 2
Raynes Park Vale 1
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
Real Bedford 4
Leighton Town 0
Sittingbourne 4
Kingstonian 1
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 2
Croydon Athletic 1
Westfield 1
Thame United 3
Ashford United 2
Hartley Wintney 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town 4
Tilbury 0
Sudbury -
TBD -
Newmarket 1
Cambridge City 3
Sevenoaks 1
Leatherhead 2
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Margate 0
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Corby 2
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Flackwell Heath 6
Broadbridge Heath 1
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Brightlingsea 1
Brentwood 2
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 1
Burgess Hill 0
Leverstock Green 3
Barton 4
Chichester City -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Herne Bay 3
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 4
Ipswich Wanderers 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Mousehole 3
Falmouth Town 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Yate 2
Bideford 0
Melksham 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 1
Horndean 2
Final
Workington 3
Morpeth 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Stockton 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Macclesfield 3
Whitby 0
Newton Aycliffe 1
Ossett United 2
Prescot Cables 0
FC Congleton Town 1
Hyde 0
Trafford 2
Ashton United 5
Stocksbridge 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Guiseley 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Hebburn Town 0
United of Manchester 3
Clitheroe 2
Lancaster 0
Stourbridge 3
Matlock 0
Kettering 0
Gainsborough 2
Stamford 1
Anstey Nomads 5
Belper Town 3
Hinckley LR 1
Chasetown 1
Bromsgrove 0
Sporting Khalsa 5
Harborough 2
Redditch 0
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 3
Hanley Town 2
Barwell 1
Stratford 0
Telford 2
Cleethorpes 1
Ilkeston 2
Coleshill Town 3
Worksop 2
St Ives Town 1
Leek Town 0
Mickleover 1
Spalding United 1
Alvechurch 2
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 3
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Real Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 2
Bognor Regis 1
Potters 2
Whitehawk 1
Uxbridge 3
Thame United 2
Ashford United 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Haringey Borough 0
Hanwell Town 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Sudbury 0
Cambridge City 1
Leatherhead 1
Hastings 2
Folkestone 8
Ascot United 1
Lewes 6
Bracknell Town 3
Leiston 1
Horsham FC 2
Bedford 1
Hendon 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Canvey Island 2
Flackwell Heath 1
Stortford 2
Dover Ath. 3
Cheshunt 0
Brentwood 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lowestoft 2
Royston Town 3
Marlow 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Littlehampton 0
Barton 1
Chichester City 2
Herne Bay 0
Chertsey Town 2
Billericay 1
Chatham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Dartford 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 1
Hitchin 0
Hadley 3
Carshalton 1
Mousehole 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gloucester City 3
Wimborne 2
Frome Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 1
Basingstoke 0
AFC Totton 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hungerford 3
Sholing 1
Tiverton 0
Dorchester 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Banbury 2
Poole Town 1
Gosport Borough 2
Yate 3
Melksham 0
Winchester City 5
Swindon Supermarine 2
Tavistock 3
Horndean 1