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Evesham vs Cheltenham

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
McCann C.
85' Event
McCann C.
90' Event
McCann C.

AI Match Summary

Cheltenham in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cheltenham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Evesham
30%
Draws
43%
Cheltenham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cheltenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Cheltenham have won more games recently than Evesham.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cheltenham have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Cheltenham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Cheltenham
0:3
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Cheltenham
1:4
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Cheltenham
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Cheltenham
2:4
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Cheltenham
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cheltenham Compare

Top Goalscorer McCann C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 30 / 100
Cheltenham 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Cheltenham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Evesham's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Evesham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Cheltenham
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
31 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 2
Evesham
29 Aug
Evesham
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
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Cheltenham

(Away)
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2
Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
York City
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