Sport Picks
Evesham vs Chippenham Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
45'
45'
Churchley K.
77'
77'
Liggett B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Evesham in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Evesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chippenham Town lately — more wins on the board than Evesham.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Evesham taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Evesham Clean Sheet 20%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Evesham | Chippenham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Chippenham Town
2:0
Dec 17, 2011 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Chippenham Town
2:4
Aug 16, 2011 Southern Premier League
Chippenham Town vs Evesham
1:0
Feb 22, 2011 Southern Premier League
Chippenham Town vs Evesham
1:0
Nov 16, 2010 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Chippenham Town
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Evesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Churchley K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Chippenham Town Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Evesham 49 / 100
Chippenham Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Evesham Chippenham Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Evesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chippenham Town conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
Evesham scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Evesham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Evesham VS Chippenham Town
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Evesham
(Home) 03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1 Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0 Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0 Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1 Stratford
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0 Berkhamsted Town
29 Aug
Evesham
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
15 Aug
Evesham
3 : 0 Chichester City
Page 1 of 4
Chippenham Town
(Away) 03 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0 Chippenham Town
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 3 Weymouth
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0 Chippenham Town
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
08 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
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