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Stadium Background

Evesham vs Ilkeston

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilkeston in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Evesham
20%
Draws
40%
Ilkeston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilkeston lately — more wins on the board than Evesham.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Ilkeston arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ilkeston, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Evesham Clean Sheet 18%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Ilkeston
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Evesham vs Ilkeston
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 36 / 100
Ilkeston 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Ilkeston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Evesham scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ilkeston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Evesham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Ilkeston
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4
Evesham
31 Jul
Evesham
1 : 1
Bishops Cleeve
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3
Cheltenham
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

Ilkeston

(Away)
08 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 0
Stockton
28 Jul
Ilkeston
4 : 1
Basford Utd.
11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1
Ilkeston
25 Apr
Ilkeston
3 : 2
United of Manchester
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Congleton Town 3
Vauxhall 1
Avro 1
Clitheroe 3
Bootle 2
Witton Albion 3
Dunston 4
Brighouse Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Stockton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 2
Trafford 0
Pontefract Collieries 0
Lower Breck 2
Silsden 1
Atherton Collieries 0
Ossett United 1
Nantwich 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Runcorn Linnets 2
Garforth 1
Wythenshawe Town 1
Bury FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Bridlington Town 1
Mossley AFC 0
North Ferriby FC 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA 2
Redcar Athletic 1
Consett 4
Hallam 0
Heaton Stannington 2
AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Blyth Town 0
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hebburn Town -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 1
Chasetown 0
Long Eaton 2
Carlton Town 3
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1
Neots 0
Stafford 1
Boldmere St Michaels 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spalding United -
Bedworth United 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Shepshed 0
Anstey Nomads 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lichfield City 1
Corby 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Coleshill Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 0
Bourne 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Coventry Sphinx 0
Lincoln Utd. 2
Malvern Town 5
Loughborough Students 1
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rugby 4
Racing Club Warwick 1
Belper Town 2
Newcastle Town 1
Matlock 3
Grimsby Borough 0
Mickleover 2
Basford Utd. 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stanway Rovers 4
Aylesbury United 0
Stotfold 0
Mildenhall 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Uxbridge -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Hertford Town 1
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Westfield 4
Margate 2
Bognor Regis 3
Sevenoaks 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentwood -
Leatherhead 4
Raynes Park Vale 0
Kingstonian 1
Merstham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
South Park 1
Broadbridge Heath 2
Bedfont Sports 1
Horndean 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Ware 1
Hadley 5
Ascot United 2
Three Bridges 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Harrow Borough 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Jersey Bulls 3
Hastings 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Cambridge City 3
FC Witham Town 3
Newmarket 2
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Cray Valley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Takeley 0
Welwyn Garden 2
London Lions 0
Tilbury 3
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 4
Binfield 3
VCD Athletic 1
Rayners Lane 0
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Erith Town 1
Deal Town 2
Herne Bay 0
Ashford United 3
Concord Rangers 2
Biggleswade FC 3
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Southall FC 1
Whyteleafe 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Hassocks 1
Crowborough 3
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag -
Redbridge 1
Waltham Abbey 4
Lowestoft 2
Leverstock Green 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Dowham Town FC 2
Brightlingsea 0
Leighton Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwood 0
Beckenham Town 1
Littlehampton 1
Hendon 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
AFC Dunstable 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Brixham 0
Falmouth Town 4
Hartpury University 2
Didcot 1
Portishead Town 4
Melksham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Exmouth Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Bideford 3
Mousehole 1
Moneyfields 2
Thame United 3
Winchester City 2
Frome Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Fareham 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Willand Rovers 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Portchester 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Tavistock 2
Larkhall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnham -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Semi-finals
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
FC Congleton Town 1
Clitheroe 3
Witton Albion 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Stockton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 0
Lower Breck 3
Silsden 3
Nantwich 0
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Runcorn Linnets 7
Bury FC 0
TBD -
Morpeth -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Bridlington Town 2
North Ferriby FC 0
TBD -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA 2
Consett 0
Heaton Stannington 4
Newton Aycliffe 0
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
Hebburn Town -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 2
Carlton Town 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 4
Stafford 3
TBD -
Stratford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Spalding United -
Bedworth United 0
Anstey Nomads 3
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Quorn -
TBD -
Corby 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Coleshill Town 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4
Lincoln Utd. 0
Malvern Town 2
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Worcester -
TBD -
Rugby 3
Belper Town 2
Matlock 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stanway Rovers 3
Mildenhall 0
TBD -
Uxbridge -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Grays 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Westfield 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Brentwood -
Leatherhead 2
Kingstonian 0
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Broadbridge Heath 2
Bedfont Sports 1
TBD -
Billericay -
Hadley 3
Ascot United 2
TBD -
Dartford -
Harrow Borough 4
Jersey Bulls 0
Cambridge City 3
FC Witham Town 4
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Cray Valley -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Tilbury 3
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town 1
VCD Athletic 2
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Deal Town 2
Ashford United 3
Biggleswade FC 3
Hitchin 1
Hayes & Yeading 5
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Crowborough 1
Sittingbourne 6
TBD -
Hashtag -
Waltham Abbey 4
Lowestoft 1
Walthamstow FC 5
Leighton Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Beckenham Town 2
Hendon 5
Enfield FC 1
AFC Dunstable 3
TBD -
Folkestone -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Falmouth Town 2
Hartpury University 4
Portishead Town 2
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Dorchester -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bideford 2
Thame United 3
Winchester City 1
TBD -
Banbury -
Fareham 2
Bishops Cleeve 4
TBD -
Sholing -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Portchester 3
Tavistock 0
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnham -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Wimborne -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Final
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Ashton United 1
Clitheroe 2
Dunston 2
Warrington Rylands 1
Workington 0
United of Manchester 2
Stockton 2
Lower Breck 0
Silsden 1
Stocksbridge 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Morpeth 2
Widnes FC 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Bridlington Town 2
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 2
Heaton Stannington 1
Whitby 1
Hebburn Town 2
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 0
Evesham 0
Ilkeston 2
Gainsborough 3
Shifnal Town 2
Barwell 0
Bromsgrove 3
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1
Stratford 2
Rushall 0
Spalding United 2
Anstey Nomads 3
Stourbridge 2
Quorn 2
Corby 3
Real Bedford 3
Stamford 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Malvern Town 1
Halesowen 1
Leek Town 2
St Ives Town 1
Kettering 0
Worcester 3
Rugby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Alvechurch 1
Harborough 2
Hednesford 0
Cleethorpes 0
Redditch 1
Stanway Rovers 1
Uxbridge 0
Royston Town 0
Welling 3
Hanwell Town 2
Grays 1
Westfield 1
Brentwood 2
Leatherhead 4
Ramsgate 1
Aveley 0
St. Albans 2
Carshalton 1
Cheshunt 2
Broadbridge Heath 1
Billericay 3
Hadley 2
Dartford 1
Harrow Borough 3
FC Witham Town 1
Lewes 1
Leiston 2
Cray Valley 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Sudbury 4
Bury Town 0
Chertsey Town 1
Tilbury 2
Burgess Hill 2
Potters 1
Stortford 4
Cray Wanderers 0
Wingate & Finchley 4
VCD Athletic 1
Chatham 1
Needham Market 0
Ashford United 4
Biggleswade FC 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Walton & Hersham 1
Sittingbourne 1
Hashtag 0
Waltham Abbey 6
Walthamstow FC 0
Whitehawk 0
Canvey Island 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 1
AFC Dunstable 1
Folkestone 3
Bracknell Town 6
Hungerford 3
Basingstoke 2
Shaftesbury Town 1
Hartpury University 0
Gloucester City 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Gosport Borough 2
Dorchester 4
Bideford 0
Thame United 0
Banbury 2
Bishops Cleeve 2
Sholing 1
Yate 1
Poole Town 2
Portchester 2
Taunton Town 1
Chichester City 2
Farnham 4
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Tiverton 2
Wimborne 2
Weymouth 0